While Cargojet Inc. (TSE:CJT) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the TSX, rising to highs of CA$127 and falling to the lows of CA$71.74. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Cargojet's current trading price of CA$75.14 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Cargojet’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What's The Opportunity In Cargojet?
Great news for investors – Cargojet is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 11.99x is currently well-below the industry average of 18.45x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. However, given that Cargojet’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Check out our latest analysis for Cargojet
What kind of growth will Cargojet generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -5.6% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Cargojet. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Although CJT is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the negative profit outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to CJT, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CJT for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
If you'd like to know more about Cargojet as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Cargojet you should be aware of.
If you are no longer interested in Cargojet, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CJT
Cargojet
Provides time-sensitive overnight air cargo services and carries in Canada.
Solid track record and good value.
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