Chorus Aviation Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Chorus Aviation's revenue is forecast to decline at 6.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 71.3% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 14.8% per annum.

Key information

71.3%

Earnings growth rate

14.8%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth	17.7%
Revenue growth rate	-6.4%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Revenue Beat: Chorus Aviation Inc. Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 5.3% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Aug 17

Recent updates

We Think You Can Look Beyond Chorus Aviation's (TSE:CHR) Lackluster Earnings

Nov 14

Revenue Beat: Chorus Aviation Inc. Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 5.3% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Aug 17

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Chorus Aviation Inc.'s (TSE:CHR) 28% Share Price Climb

Jul 24

Chorus Aviation's (TSE:CHR) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

May 13

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Chorus Aviation Inc. (TSE:CHR) After Its Yearly Report

Feb 25

Does Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jan 10

Does Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Sep 29

These 4 Measures Indicate That Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Feb 04

These 4 Measures Indicate That Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Aug 14

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:CHR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	1,394	51	112	147	6
12/31/2025	1,407	63	121	179	7
12/31/2024	1,428	-145	185	206	7
9/30/2024	1,688	36	200	254	N/A
6/30/2024	1,724	45	311	366	N/A
3/31/2024	1,700	50	274	325	N/A
12/31/2023	1,681	66	257	300	N/A
9/30/2023	1,485	81	306	360	N/A
6/30/2023	1,528	64	239	289	N/A
3/31/2023	1,593	12	245	305	N/A
12/31/2022	1,596	26	217	280	N/A
9/30/2022	1,503	0	191	247	N/A
6/30/2022	1,356	-27	177	237	N/A
3/31/2022	1,163	41	139	188	N/A
12/31/2021	1,023	-20	110	185	N/A
9/30/2021	895	-21	-92	193	N/A
6/30/2021	817	13	-160	189	N/A
3/31/2021	801	21	-287	146	N/A
12/31/2020	949	41	-249	157	N/A
9/30/2020	1,069	69	-307	189	N/A
6/30/2020	1,224	73	-487	175	N/A
3/31/2020	1,373	82	-460	261	N/A
12/31/2019	1,366	133	-614	262	N/A
9/30/2019	1,362	99	-497	233	N/A
6/30/2019	1,352	118	-308	249	N/A
3/31/2019	1,373	96	-167	253	N/A
12/31/2018	1,353	67	-87	239	N/A
9/30/2018	1,376	85	-69	213	N/A
6/30/2018	1,377	121	N/A	274	N/A
3/31/2018	1,356	146	N/A	269	N/A
12/31/2017	1,352	167	N/A	268	N/A
9/30/2017	1,311	160	N/A	286	N/A
6/30/2017	1,299	101	N/A	215	N/A
3/31/2017	1,276	83	N/A	204	N/A
12/31/2016	1,277	112	N/A	191	N/A
9/30/2016	1,319	112	N/A	171	N/A
6/30/2016	1,400	98	N/A	146	N/A
3/31/2016	1,490	106	N/A	135	N/A
12/31/2015	1,545	25	N/A	139	N/A
9/30/2015	1,589	24	N/A	154	N/A
6/30/2015	1,609	29	N/A	169	N/A
3/31/2015	1,627	34	N/A	181	N/A
12/31/2014	1,666	65	N/A	203	N/A
9/30/2014	1,678	62	N/A	186	N/A
6/30/2014	1,678	87	N/A	173	N/A
3/31/2014	1,670	58	N/A	173	N/A
12/31/2013	1,672	62	N/A	161	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CHR's forecast earnings growth (71.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: CHR's earnings (71.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CHR's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CHR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-6.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CHR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if CHR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/20 22:46
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Chorus Aviation Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
George Trapkov	Beacon Securities Limited
Fadi Chamoun	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Matthew Lee	Canaccord Genuity

Chorus Aviation Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to CA$0.80 loss, revenue downgraded

Price target increased by 10% to CA$3.58

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Revenue Beat: Chorus Aviation Inc. Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 5.3% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%

Price target increased by 8.1% to CA$3.26

Recent updates

President exercised options to buy CA$853k worth of stock.

HPS Investment Partners, LLC completed the acquisition of Chorus Aviation Capital Corp. from Chorus Aviation Inc. (TSX:CHR).

HPS Investment Partners, LLC completed the acquisition of Chorus Aviation Capital Corp. from Chorus Aviation Inc. (TSX:CHR).

Chorus Aviation Inc. Announces Management Changes

We Think You Can Look Beyond Chorus Aviation's (TSE:CHR) Lackluster Earnings

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to CA$0.80 loss, revenue downgraded

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Price target increased by 10% to CA$3.58

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Independent Chairman recently bought CA$352k worth of stock

Independent Director recently bought CA$377k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Revenue Beat: Chorus Aviation Inc. Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 5.3% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Price target increased by 8.1% to CA$3.26

HPS Investment Partners, LLC entered into an agreement to acquire Chorus Aviation Capital Corp. from Chorus Aviation Inc. (TSX:CHR) for approximately CAD 1.9 billion.

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Chorus Aviation Inc.'s (TSE:CHR) 28% Share Price Climb

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Chorus Aviation's (TSE:CHR) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%, revenue upgraded

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Chorus Aviation Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2024

Chorus Aviation Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 06, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Price target decreased by 10% to CA$3.29

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Chorus Aviation Inc. (TSE:CHR) After Its Yearly Report

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CA$0.34 (vs CA$0.13 in FY 2022)

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%, revenue upgraded

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CA$0.04 (vs CA$0.064 in 3Q 2022)

Chorus Aviation Inc. Provides Unaudited Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2023

Price target decreased by 7.5% to CA$4.04

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Independent Director recently bought CA$99k worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Chorus Aviation Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2023

Independent Director recently bought CA$96k worth of stock

President exercised options to buy CA$139k worth of stock.

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Chorus Aviation Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2023

Does Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

High number of new directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Chorus Aviation Inc. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2022

Does Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Chorus Aviation Inc. Announces President Succession

Price target decreased to CA$5.13

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

High number of new directors

First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Chorus Aviation Inc. Announces Board Changes

Chorus Aviation Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2022

President of Chorus Aviation Capital exercised options to buy CA$78k worth of stock.

Price target increased to CA$5.71

Chorus Aviation Inc. announced that it expects to receive $373.988574 million in funding from Brookfield Asset Management Inc.

Chorus Aviation Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 09, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

These 4 Measures Indicate That Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Third quarter 2021 earnings released

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Price target decreased to CA$5.13

Consensus EPS estimates fall to CA$0.085

These 4 Measures Indicate That Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way