Stock Analysis

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.'s (CVE:HIVE) 27% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

The HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (CVE:HIVE) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, HIVE Digital Technologies may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 3.8x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for HIVE Digital Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:HIVE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 15th 2024

How Has HIVE Digital Technologies Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for HIVE Digital Technologies as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on HIVE Digital Technologies will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like HIVE Digital Technologies' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 44%. Revenue has also lifted 23% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 15% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why HIVE Digital Technologies is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does HIVE Digital Technologies' P/S Mean For Investors?

HIVE Digital Technologies' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of HIVE Digital Technologies' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware HIVE Digital Technologies is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HIVE Digital Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:HIVE

HIVE Digital Technologies

A technology company, engages in the building and operating data centers powered by green energy in Bermuda.

Flawless balance sheet with medium-low risk.

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