Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Dye & Durham Limited's (TSE:DND) 25% Price Drop

TSX:DND
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Dye & Durham Limited (TSE:DND) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 16% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Dye & Durham may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 3.1x and even P/S higher than 10x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Dye & Durham

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:DND Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2023

How Dye & Durham Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Dye & Durham's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Dye & Durham will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Dye & Durham's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dye & Durham would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.0%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, despite the drawbacks experienced in the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.1% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 18% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Dye & Durham is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Dye & Durham's P/S

Dye & Durham's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Software companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Dye & Durham's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Dye & Durham with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Dye & Durham, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.