Optimistic Investors Push Coveo Solutions Inc. (TSE:CVO) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking
Coveo Solutions Inc. (TSE:CVO) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Coveo Solutions' P/S ratio of 3.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Software industry in Canada is also close to 3.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Coveo Solutions. Read for free now.View our latest analysis for Coveo Solutions
How Coveo Solutions Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Coveo Solutions as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Coveo Solutions' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Coveo Solutions' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Coveo Solutions would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.2% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 68% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 19% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Coveo Solutions is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On Coveo Solutions' P/S
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Coveo Solutions' P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
When you consider that Coveo Solutions' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Coveo Solutions (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CVO
Coveo Solutions
Provides software-as-a-service artificial intelligence (AI) platform in Canada, the United States, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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