Goldmoney Valuation

Is XAU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XAU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XAU (CA$8.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$18.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XAU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XAU?

Key metric: As XAU is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for XAU. This is calculated by dividing XAU's market cap by their current revenue.
What is XAU's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesCA$82.54m
Market CapCA$107.59m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does XAU's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for XAU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.1x
IDG Indigo Books & Music
0.07x-1.6%CA$68.9m
KITS Kits Eyecare
1.9x18.5%CA$277.9m
PESO PesoRama
0.5xn/aCA$11.5m
PET Pet Valu Holdings
1.8x6.6%CA$1.9b
XAU Goldmoney
1.3xn/aCA$107.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: XAU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does XAU's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Specialty Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ACQ AutoCanada
0.07x2.5%US$312.45m
IDG Indigo Books & Music
0.07x-1.6%US$50.59m
FAF Fire & Flower Holdings
0.08xn/aUS$9.91m
NIC Delota
0.08xn/aUS$2.29m
XAU 1.3xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies6PS00.81.62.43.24+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: XAU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the North American Specialty Retail industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XAU's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XAU PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XAU's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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