Stock Analysis

Is Canadian Tire Corporation (TSE:CTC.A) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (TSE:CTC.A) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Canadian Tire Corporation

How Much Debt Does Canadian Tire Corporation Carry?

As you can see below, Canadian Tire Corporation had CA$7.65b of debt at July 2022, down from CA$8.51b a year prior. However, it does have CA$724.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$6.93b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:CTC.A Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2022

A Look At Canadian Tire Corporation's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Canadian Tire Corporation had liabilities of CA$6.08b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$8.37b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$724.6m as well as receivables valued at CA$857.8m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$12.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CA$10.4b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Canadian Tire Corporation has net debt to EBITDA of 3.1 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 8.7 suggests it can easily service that debt. Unfortunately, Canadian Tire Corporation saw its EBIT slide 5.0% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Canadian Tire Corporation can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Canadian Tire Corporation produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Mulling over Canadian Tire Corporation's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Canadian Tire Corporation's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Canadian Tire Corporation (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.