Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Imperial Equities Inc. (CVE:IEI) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Imperial Equities
How Much Debt Does Imperial Equities Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Imperial Equities had CA$133.6m of debt, an increase on CA$124.3m, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
A Look At Imperial Equities' Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Imperial Equities had liabilities of CA$68.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$82.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$325.2k and CA$8.02m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$143.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$37.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Imperial Equities would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Imperial Equities shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (12.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Notably, Imperial Equities's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Imperial Equities will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Imperial Equities recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 93% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
On the face of it, Imperial Equities's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Imperial Equities has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Imperial Equities you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About TSXV:IEI
Imperial Equities
Engages in the acquisition, development, redevelopment, leasing, and sale of industrial, agricultural, and commercial properties primarily in Edmonton, Alberta, and British Columbia.
Moderate and good value.