Stock Analysis

One Metric To Rule Them All: Plaza Retail REIT (TSE:PLZ.UN)

Plaza Retail REIT is a CA$436m small-cap, real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Fredericton, Canada. REITs are basically a portfolio of income-producing real estate investments, which are owned and operated by management of that trust company. They have to meet certain requirements in order to become a REIT, meaning they should be analyzed a different way. In this commentary, I'll take you through some of the things I look at when assessing PLZ.UN.

Check out our latest analysis for Plaza Retail REIT

REIT investors should be familiar with the term Fund from Operations (FFO) – a REIT’s main source of cash flow from its day-to-day business activities. FFO is a higher quality measure of earnings because it takes out the impact of non-recurring sales and non-cash items such as depreciation. These items can distort the bottom line and not necessarily reflective of PLZ.UN’s daily operations. For PLZ.UN, its FFO of CA$34m makes up 54% of its gross profit, which means over a third of its earnings are high-quality and recurring.

TSX:PLZ.UN Historical Debt, August 26th 2019
TSX:PLZ.UN Historical Debt, August 26th 2019

Robust financial health can be measured using a common metric in the REIT investing world, FFO-to-debt. The calculation roughly estimates how long it will take for PLZ.UN to repay debt on its balance sheet, which gives us insight into how much risk is associated with having that level of debt on its books. With a ratio of 5.8%, the credit rating agency Standard & Poor would consider this as aggressive risk. This would take PLZ.UN 17 years to pay off using just operating income, which is a long time, and risk increases with time. But realistically, companies have many levers to pull in order to pay back their debt, beyond operating income alone.

I also look at PLZ.UN's interest coverage ratio, which demonstrates how many times its earnings can cover its yearly interest expense. This is similar to the concept above, but looks at the upcoming obligations. The ratio is typically calculated using EBIT, but for a REIT stock, it's better to use FFO divided by net interest. With an interest coverage ratio of 1.16x, PLZ.UN is not generating an appropriate amount of cash from its borrowings. Typically, a ratio of greater than 3x is seen as safe.

In terms of valuing PLZ.UN, FFO can also be used as a form of relative valuation. Instead of the P/E ratio, P/FFO is used instead, which is very common for REIT stocks. In PLZ.UN’s case its P/FFO is 12.97x, compared to the long-term industry average of 16.5x, meaning that it is undervalued.

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Next Steps:

Plaza Retail REIT can bring diversification into your portfolio due to its unique REIT characteristics. Before you make a decision on the stock today, keep in mind I've only covered one metric in this article, the FFO, which is by no means comprehensive. I'd strongly recommend continuing your research on the following areas I believe are key fundamentals for PLZ.UN:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for PLZ.UN’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for PLZ.UN’s outlook.
  2. Valuation: What is PLZ.UN worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether PLZ.UN is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

About TSX:PLZ.UN

Plaza Retail REIT

Plaza is an open-ended real estate investment trust and is a leading retail property owner and developer, focused on Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic Canada.

6 star dividend payer with solid track record.

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