Stock Analysis

Is Indiva (CVE:NDVA) A Risky Investment?

TSXV:NDVA.H
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Indiva Limited (CVE:NDVA) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Indiva

What Is Indiva's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Indiva had CA$21.4m of debt, at December 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CA$2.79m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$18.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:NDVA Debt to Equity History April 19th 2023

How Strong Is Indiva's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Indiva had liabilities of CA$13.4m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$22.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$2.79m in cash and CA$4.13m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$28.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$10.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Indiva would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Indiva can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Indiva reported revenue of CA$34m, which is a gain of 6.0%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Indiva had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$6.1m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost CA$11m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Indiva has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.