Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. (TSE:CURA) With Shares Advancing 25%

TSX:CURA
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The Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. (TSE:CURA) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Curaleaf Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.4x, considering almost half the companies in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Curaleaf Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CURA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024

What Does Curaleaf Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Curaleaf Holdings could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Curaleaf Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Curaleaf Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Curaleaf Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 197% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.0% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 8.4% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Curaleaf Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What Does Curaleaf Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

The large bounce in Curaleaf Holdings' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Curaleaf Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Curaleaf Holdings that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Curaleaf Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.