Stock Analysis

We Think Avant Brands (TSE:AVNT) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

TSX:AVNT
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Avant Brands Inc. (TSE:AVNT) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Avant Brands

What Is Avant Brands's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of February 2023 Avant Brands had CA$8.98m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it also had CA$2.61m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$6.37m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:AVNT Debt to Equity History July 1st 2023

A Look At Avant Brands' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Avant Brands had liabilities of CA$11.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$10.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$2.61m and CA$7.00m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$12.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Avant Brands is worth CA$34.8m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Avant Brands's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Avant Brands wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 96%, to CA$23m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Avant Brands's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$7.5m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$3.3m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Avant Brands is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.