Stock Analysis

Is Adastra Holdings (CSE:XTRX) A Risky Investment?

Published
CNSX:XTRX

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Adastra Holdings Ltd. (CSE:XTRX) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Adastra Holdings

How Much Debt Does Adastra Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Adastra Holdings had CA$3.56m of debt in June 2024, down from CA$3.89m, one year before. On the flip side, it has CA$1.16m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$2.39m.

CNSX:XTRX Debt to Equity History September 4th 2024

How Strong Is Adastra Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Adastra Holdings had liabilities of CA$19.2m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$731.9k falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$1.16m in cash and CA$3.72m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$15.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$5.04m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Adastra Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Adastra Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Adastra Holdings wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 9.2%, to CA$23m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Adastra Holdings produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$965k at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized CA$41k in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Adastra Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.