Stock Analysis

Green Thumb Industries Inc. (CSE:GTII) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

CNSX:GTII
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With its stock down 9.8% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Green Thumb Industries (CSE:GTII). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Green Thumb Industries' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Green Thumb Industries

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) Ă· Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Green Thumb Industries is:

3.8% = US$67m Ă· US$1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CA$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CA$0.04.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Green Thumb Industries' Earnings Growth And 3.8% ROE

It is hard to argue that Green Thumb Industries' ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 20%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. In spite of this, Green Thumb Industries was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 37% in the last five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

We then performed a comparison between Green Thumb Industries' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 46% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
CNSX:GTII Past Earnings Growth October 13th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Green Thumb Industries fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Green Thumb Industries Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Green Thumb Industries doesn't pay any regular dividends to its shareholders, meaning that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This is likely what's driving the high earnings growth number discussed above.

Summary

In total, it does look like Green Thumb Industries has some positive aspects to its business. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.