Stock Analysis

Cresco Labs Inc.'s (CSE:CL) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

The Cresco Labs Inc. (CSE:CL) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 2.7% over that longer period.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Cresco Labs' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Cresco Labs

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CNSX:CL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 19th 2024
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What Does Cresco Labs' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Cresco Labs could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cresco Labs will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Cresco Labs' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.3% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 30% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 5.8% each year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 8.7% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Cresco Labs is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Cresco Labs' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Cresco Labs looks to be in line with the rest of the Pharmaceuticals industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Given that Cresco Labs' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Cresco Labs that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About CNSX:CL

Cresco Labs

Cresco Labs Inc. cultivates, manufactures, and sells retail and medical cannabis products in the United States and Germany.

Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.

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