Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Just Cut Their Sabio Holdings Inc. (CVE:SBIO) Revenue Estimates By 11%

TSXV:SBIO
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One thing we could say about the analysts on Sabio Holdings Inc. (CVE:SBIO) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic.

After the downgrade, the consensus from Sabio Holdings' four analysts is for revenues of US$42m in 2023, which would reflect a noticeable 5.7% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Per-share losses are expected to explode, reaching US$0.09 per share. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$46m and US$0.02 per share in losses. Ergo, there's been a clear change in sentiment, with the analysts administering a notable cut to this year's revenue estimates, while at the same time increasing their loss per share forecasts.

See our latest analysis for Sabio Holdings

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TSXV:SBIO Earnings and Revenue Growth August 24th 2023

The consensus price target fell 27% to CA$2.25, with the analysts clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Sabio Holdings' past performance and to peers in the same industry. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 11% by the end of 2023. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 46% over the last year. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 1.4% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Sabio Holdings is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for this year. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of Sabio Holdings' future valuation. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on Sabio Holdings after today.

There might be good reason for analyst bearishness towards Sabio Holdings, like dilutive stock issuance over the past year. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 4 other flags we've identified.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sabio Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.