Stock Analysis

Armada Data Corporation (CVE:ARD) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

TSXV:ARD
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Armada Data's (CVE:ARD) recent performance, when its stock has declined 13% over the past three months. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. In this article, we decided to focus on Armada Data's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Armada Data

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Armada Data is:

8.8% = CA$104k ÷ CA$1.2m (Based on the trailing twelve months to November 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CA$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CA$0.09 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Armada Data's Earnings Growth And 8.8% ROE

When you first look at it, Armada Data's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 14%. Thus, the low net income growth of 2.6% seen by Armada Data over the past five years could probably be the result of the low ROE.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Armada Data's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
TSXV:ARD Past Earnings Growth March 13th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is ARD worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ARD is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Armada Data Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Armada Data has a very high three-year median payout ratio of 169%, which suggests that the company is dipping into more than just its profits to pay its dividend and that shows in its low earnings growth number. This is indicative of risk. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Armada Data visit our risks dashboard for free.

Moreover, Armada Data has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Armada Data. Specifically, it has shown quite an unsatisfactory performance as far as earnings growth is concerned, and a poor ROE and an equally poor rate of reinvestment seem to be the reason behind this inadequate performance. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. You can do your own research on Armada Data and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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