Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Ucore Rare Metals Inc. (CVE:UCU) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Ucore Rare Metals
What Is Ucore Rare Metals's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Ucore Rare Metals had CA$3.44m of debt, an increase on CA$2.33m, over one year. However, it does have CA$2.26m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$1.18m.
How Strong Is Ucore Rare Metals' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ucore Rare Metals had liabilities of CA$2.83m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$2.18m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$2.26m and CA$433.5k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$2.32m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Ucore Rare Metals has a market capitalization of CA$65.1m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Ucore Rare Metals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Ucore Rare Metals finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Ucore Rare Metals produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost CA$4.5m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$6.9m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Ucore Rare Metals (3 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:UCU
Ucore Rare Metals
Focuses on the extraction, beneficiation, and separation of rare and critical metal resources in Canada and the United States.
Moderate with mediocre balance sheet.