Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Ucore Rare Metals Inc. (CVE:UCU) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Ucore Rare Metals
What Is Ucore Rare Metals's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Ucore Rare Metals had debt of CA$8.03m, up from CA$3.88m in one year. On the flip side, it has CA$319.5k in cash leading to net debt of about CA$7.71m.
A Look At Ucore Rare Metals' Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ucore Rare Metals had liabilities of CA$5.28m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$9.72m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$319.5k and CA$1.74m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$12.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Ucore Rare Metals has a market capitalization of CA$42.7m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ucore Rare Metals will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Ucore Rare Metals has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Ucore Rare Metals produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$7.3m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$9.7m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Ucore Rare Metals (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:UCU
Ucore Rare Metals
Focuses on the extraction, beneficiation, and separation of rare and critical metal resources in Canada and the United States.
Low and slightly overvalued.