Basic Materials Stocks: Is Now The Time To Buy Palamina Corp (CVE:PA)?

Palamina Corp (TSXV:PA), a CA$6.32M small-cap, is a metals and mining operating in an industry which is sensitive to changes in the business cycle, as it supplies materials for construction activities. Furthermore, the basic materials sector can be affected by shifts in the housing market, as many produced raw materials are components of construction projects. For example, if new housing development slows, the demand for metal products may also decrease. Basic material analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a somewhat weaker growth of 1.32% in the upcoming year , and an overall negative growth rate in the next couple of years. Unsuprisingly, this is below the growth rate of the Canadian stock market as a whole. Should your portfolio be overweight in the metals and mining sector at the moment? In this article, I’ll take you through the sector growth expectations, as well as evaluate whether Palamina is lagging or leading its competitors in the industry. See our latest analysis for Palamina

What’s the catalyst for Palamina’s sector growth?

TSXV:PA Past Future Earnings Feb 13th 18
TSXV:PA Past Future Earnings Feb 13th 18
Altogether the basic materials sector seems like it has reached maturity in its life cycle. Companies appear to be vastly competitive and consolidation seems to be a natural trend. There are plenty of emerging trends to deal with across the board including the reduction of waste, raw material inflation, and innovation in global supply chain management. Over the past year, the industry saw growth in the forties, beating the Canadian market growth of 12.45%. Palamina lags the pack with its sustained negative earnings over the past couple of years. The company’s outlook seems uncertain, with a lack of analyst coverage, which doesn’t boost our confidence in the stock. This lack of growth and transparency means Palamina may be trading cheaper than its peers.

Is Palamina and the sector relatively cheap?

TSXV:PA PE PEG Gauge Feb 13th 18
TSXV:PA PE PEG Gauge Feb 13th 18
metals and mining companies are typically trading at a PE of 11.31x, lower than the rest of the Canadian stock market PE of 16.48x. This means the industry, on average, is relatively undervalued compared to the wider market – a potential mispricing opportunity here! Though, the industry returned a similar 7.39% on equities compared to the market’s 9.20%. Since Palamina’s earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value, its PE ratio isn’t very useful. A loose alternative to gauge Palamina’s value is to assume the stock should be relatively in-line with its industry.

Next Steps:

Palamina has been a metals and mining industry laggard in the past year. If Palamina has been on your watchlist for a while, now may be a good time to dig deeper into the stock. Although it delivered lower growth relative to its materials peers in the near term, the market may be pessimistic on the stock, leading to a potential undervaluation. However, before you make a decision on the stock, I suggest you look at Palamina’s fundamentals in order to build a holistic investment thesis.