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Little Excitement Around Northern Graphite Corporation's (CVE:NGC) Revenues As Shares Take 31% Pounding
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Northern Graphite Corporation (CVE:NGC) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 74% loss during that time.
After such a large drop in price, Northern Graphite may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 17x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Northern Graphite
What Does Northern Graphite's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Northern Graphite as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Northern Graphite will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Northern Graphite's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 43% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Northern Graphite is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What We Can Learn From Northern Graphite's P/S?
The southerly movements of Northern Graphite's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Northern Graphite confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Northern Graphite (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Northern Graphite, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Northern Graphite might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:NGC
Northern Graphite
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of graphite and other battery mineral properties in North America.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.