Stock Analysis

We're A Little Worried About Monument Mining's (CVE:MMY) Cash Burn Rate

TSXV:MMY
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Monument Mining (CVE:MMY) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

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Does Monument Mining Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. Monument Mining has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the US$10m in cash it held at March 2023. In the last year, its cash burn was US$16m. That means it had a cash runway of around 8 months as of March 2023. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. However, if we extrapolate the company's recent cash burn trend, then it would have a longer cash run way. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:MMY Debt to Equity History August 5th 2023

How Well Is Monument Mining Growing?

At first glance it's a bit worrying to see that Monument Mining actually boosted its cash burn by 30%, year on year. And we must say we find it concerning that operating revenue dropped 49% over the same period. Taken together, we think these growth metrics are a little worrying. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Monument Mining has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can Monument Mining Raise Cash?

Since Monument Mining can't yet boast improving growth metrics, the market will likely be considering how it can raise more cash if need be. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Monument Mining's cash burn of US$16m is about 46% of its US$34m market capitalisation. That's high expenditure relative to the value of the entire company, so if it does have to issue shares to fund more growth, that could end up really hurting shareholders returns (through significant dilution).

Is Monument Mining's Cash Burn A Worry?

We must admit that we don't think Monument Mining is in a very strong position, when it comes to its cash burn. While its increasing cash burn wasn't too bad, its falling revenue does leave us rather nervous. After considering the data discussed in this article, we don't have a lot of confidence that its cash burn rate is prudent, as it seems like it might need more cash soon. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for Monument Mining (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.