Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Watching Minaurum Gold's (CVE:MGG) Cash Burn Situation

TSXV:MGG
Source: Shutterstock

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So should Minaurum Gold (CVE:MGG) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Minaurum Gold

How Long Is Minaurum Gold's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at October 2024, Minaurum Gold had cash of CA$2.5m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$4.0m. That means it had a cash runway of around 8 months as of October 2024. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:MGG Debt to Equity History February 13th 2025

How Is Minaurum Gold's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Minaurum Gold didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by a very significant 56%. Oftentimes, increased cash burn simply means a company is accelerating its business development, but one should always be mindful that this causes the cash runway to shrink. Minaurum Gold makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.

How Hard Would It Be For Minaurum Gold To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, Minaurum Gold shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of CA$81m, Minaurum Gold's CA$4.0m in cash burn equates to about 4.9% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

Is Minaurum Gold's Cash Burn A Worry?

On this analysis of Minaurum Gold's cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its cash runway has us a bit worried. Summing up, we think the Minaurum Gold's cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. On another note, Minaurum Gold has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:MGG

Minaurum Gold

An exploration stage company, engages in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties in Mexico and the United States.

Adequate balance sheet low.

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