David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Lumina Gold Corp. (CVE:LUM) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Lumina Gold
What Is Lumina Gold's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Lumina Gold had US$3.80m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it does have US$112.4k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$3.69m.
How Strong Is Lumina Gold's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Lumina Gold had liabilities of US$3.99m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$112.4k and US$43.7k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.83m.
Given Lumina Gold has a market capitalization of US$174.3m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Lumina Gold's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Lumina Gold finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Lumina Gold had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$6.6m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$6.0m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Lumina Gold , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:LUM
Lumina Gold
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral resources in Ecuador.
Moderate with imperfect balance sheet.