Stock Analysis

Does Itafos (CVE:IFOS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Itafos Inc. (CVE:IFOS) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Itafos

What Is Itafos's Debt?

As you can see below, Itafos had US$121.5m of debt at March 2023, down from US$203.9m a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$50.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$70.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:IFOS Debt to Equity History August 2nd 2023

A Look At Itafos' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Itafos had liabilities of US$89.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$263.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$50.7m as well as receivables valued at US$28.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$273.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$230.9m, we think shareholders really should watch Itafos's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Itafos has net debt of just 0.34 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.3 times the interest expense over the last year. Also good is that Itafos grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Itafos can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent two years, Itafos recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Both Itafos's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its net debt to EBITDA gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to handle its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think Itafos is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Itafos you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:IFOS

Itafos

Operates as a phosphate and specialty fertilizer company.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25241.5% overvalued
18 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.8% undervalued
15 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.647.1% overvalued
6 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

YI
AMZN logo
yiannisz on Amazon.com ·

Amazon: Why the World’s Biggest Platform Still Runs on Invisible Economics

Fair Value:US$231.383.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
RUN logo
yiannisz on Sunrun ·

Sunrun Stock: When the Energy Transition Collides With the Cost of Capital

Fair Value:US$19.098.1% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
CRM logo
yiannisz on Salesforce ·

Salesforce Stock: AI-Fueled Growth Is Real — But Can Margins Stay This Strong?

Fair Value:US$268.765.2% undervalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
122 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.1% undervalued
81 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3929.0% undervalued
973 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative