Stock Analysis

Investors Give Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. (CVE:GSVR) Shares A 29% Hiding

TSXV:GSVR
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Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. (CVE:GSVR) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Guanajuato Silver may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 13x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Guanajuato Silver

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:GSVR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 17th 2024

How Has Guanajuato Silver Performed Recently?

Guanajuato Silver certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guanajuato Silver will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Guanajuato Silver's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 155%. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Guanajuato Silver's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Guanajuato Silver's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for Guanajuato Silver remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Guanajuato Silver (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guanajuato Silver is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.