Stock Analysis

Is Gensource Potash (CVE:GSP) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Gensource Potash Corporation (CVE:GSP) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Gensource Potash Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2024, Gensource Potash had CA$6.33m of debt, up from CA$5.47m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:GSP Debt to Equity History May 19th 2025

How Healthy Is Gensource Potash's Balance Sheet?

According to the balance sheet data, Gensource Potash had liabilities of CA$12.8m due within 12 months, but no longer term liabilities. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$65.8k as well as receivables valued at CA$232.0k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$12.5m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Gensource Potash has a market capitalization of CA$36.1m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Gensource Potash will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

See our latest analysis for Gensource Potash

Given it has no significant operating revenue at the moment, shareholders will be hoping Gensource Potash can make progress and gain better traction for the business, before it runs low on cash.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Gensource Potash produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CA$2.6m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$895k of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Gensource Potash (of which 3 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:GSP

Gensource Potash

Operates as a fertilizer development company in Canada.

Slight risk and overvalued.

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