Stock Analysis

Is Falco Resources (CVE:FPC) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

TSXV:FPC
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Falco Resources Ltd. (CVE:FPC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Falco Resources

What Is Falco Resources's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Falco Resources had CA$31.9m of debt, an increase on CA$28.9m, over one year. However, it does have CA$8.57m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$23.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:FPC Debt to Equity History April 13th 2023

How Healthy Is Falco Resources' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Falco Resources had liabilities of CA$33.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$53.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$8.57m and CA$544.7k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$77.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$31.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Falco Resources would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Falco Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Since Falco Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Falco Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$3.4m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CA$11m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Falco Resources (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.