David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Falco Resources Ltd. (CVE:FPC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Falco Resources
What Is Falco Resources's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Falco Resources had debt of CA$32.3m, up from CA$29.9m in one year. On the flip side, it has CA$6.78m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$25.5m.
How Strong Is Falco Resources' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Falco Resources had liabilities of CA$964.8k falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$86.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$6.78m in cash and CA$692.5k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$80.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$43.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Falco Resources would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Falco Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Since Falco Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Falco Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CA$3.3m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CA$8.6m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Falco Resources you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:FPC
Falco Resources
Engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Canada.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.