Stock Analysis

Is Arianne Phosphate (CVE:DAN) Using Too Much Debt?

TSXV:DAN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Arianne Phosphate Inc. (CVE:DAN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Arianne Phosphate

What Is Arianne Phosphate's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Arianne Phosphate had debt of CA$19.3m, up from CA$16.1m in one year. However, it also had CA$4.60m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$14.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:DAN Debt to Equity History August 12th 2022

A Look At Arianne Phosphate's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Arianne Phosphate had liabilities of CA$2.49m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$21.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$4.60m as well as receivables valued at CA$206.7k due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$18.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Arianne Phosphate has a market capitalization of CA$94.0m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Arianne Phosphate will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Arianne Phosphate finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Arianne Phosphate had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CA$1.7m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$2.5m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Arianne Phosphate (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.