Stock Analysis

What Kind Of Share Price Volatility Should You Expect For Atico Mining Corporation (CVE:ATY)?

TSXV:ATY
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If you're interested in Atico Mining Corporation (CVE:ATY), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

View our latest analysis for Atico Mining

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What we can learn from ATY's beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.66, we can surmise that the Atico Mining share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). Based on this history, investors should be aware that Atico Mining are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether Atico Mining is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

TSXV:ATY Income Statement, August 14th 2019
TSXV:ATY Income Statement, August 14th 2019

Could ATY's size cause it to be more volatile?

Atico Mining is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of CA$26m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.

What this means for you:

Beta only tells us that the Atico Mining share price is sensitive to broader market movements. This could indicate that it is a high growth company, or is heavily influenced by sentiment because it is speculative. Alternatively, it could have operating leverage in its business model. Ultimately, beta is an interesting metric, but there's plenty more to learn. In order to fully understand whether ATY is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Atico Mining’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for ATY’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for ATY’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has ATY been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of ATY's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how ATY measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.