Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Antioquia Gold (CVE:AGD) Stock Three Years Ago, You'd Be Sitting On A 70% Loss, Today

  •  Updated
TSXV:AGD
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Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But long term Antioquia Gold Inc. (CVE:AGD) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 70% drop in the share price over that period. The good news is that the stock is up 20% in the last week.

See our latest analysis for Antioquia Gold

We don't think Antioquia Gold's revenue of CA$1,484,473 is enough to establish significant demand. This state of affairs suggests that venture capitalists won't provide funds on attractive terms. So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. It seems likely some shareholders believe that Antioquia Gold will find or develop a valuable new mine before too long.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress - and share price - will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. Some Antioquia Gold investors have already had a taste of the bitterness stocks like this can leave in the mouth.

Antioquia Gold had liabilities exceeding cash by CA$104,749,998 when it last reported in March 2019, according to our data. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. But since the share price has dived -33% per year, over 3 years, it looks like some investors think it's time to abandon ship, so to speak. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how Antioquia Gold's cash levels have changed over time.

TSXV:AGD Historical Debt, July 26th 2019
TSXV:AGD Historical Debt, July 26th 2019

Of course, the truth is that it is hard to value companies without much revenue or profit. Would it bother you if insiders were selling the stock? It would bother me, that's for sure. You can click here to see if there are insiders selling.

A Different Perspective

Antioquia Gold shareholders are down 14% for the year, but the market itself is up 0.9%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3.7%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

About TSXV:AGD

Antioquia Gold

Antioquia Gold Inc. engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of gold resource properties in Colombia.

The Snowflake is a visual investment summary with the score of each axis being calculated by 6 checks in 5 areas.

Analysis AreaScore (0-6)
Valuation4
Future Growth0
Past Performance0
Financial Health2
Dividends0

Read more about these checks in the individual report sections or in our analysis model.

Good value with imperfect balance sheet.