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Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On TRX Gold Corporation (TSE:TRX)
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.8x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about TRX Gold Corporation's (TSE:TRX) P/S ratio of 2.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for TRX Gold
What Does TRX Gold's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times haven't been great for TRX Gold as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think TRX Gold's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like TRX Gold's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.4% gain to the company's revenues. Still, revenue has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 70% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 25%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that TRX Gold is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From TRX Gold's P/S?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that TRX Gold currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for TRX Gold you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of TRX Gold's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TRX Gold might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:TRX
TRX Gold
Engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.