Stock Analysis

Does Taseko Mines (TSE:TKO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TSX:TKO
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Taseko Mines Limited (TSE:TKO) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Taseko Mines

How Much Debt Does Taseko Mines Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Taseko Mines had CA$578.2m of debt, an increase on CA$514.3m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$87.3m, its net debt is less, at about CA$490.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:TKO Debt to Equity History September 17th 2023

A Look At Taseko Mines' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Taseko Mines had liabilities of CA$142.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$913.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$87.3m and CA$4.94m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$963.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$583.1m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Taseko Mines would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.3 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6 hit our confidence in Taseko Mines like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Taseko Mines's EBIT was down 62% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Taseko Mines can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Taseko Mines burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Taseko Mines's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. It looks to us like Taseko Mines carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. Given our concerns about Taseko Mines's debt levels, it seems only prudent to check if insiders have been ditching the stock.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.