When close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Sandstorm Gold Ltd. (TSE:SSL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Sandstorm Gold
How Has Sandstorm Gold Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Sandstorm Gold has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sandstorm Gold.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Sandstorm Gold's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 99% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.5% per year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 10% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sandstorm Gold's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Sandstorm Gold's P/S?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Sandstorm Gold, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Sandstorm Gold has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:SSL
Reasonable growth potential with proven track record.