Stock Analysis

Does Pan American Silver (TSE:PAAS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TSX:PAAS
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Pan American Silver Corp. (TSE:PAAS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Pan American Silver

What Is Pan American Silver's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Pan American Silver had US$35.2m of debt, an increase on US$20.8m, over one year. However, it does have US$326.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$291.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:PAAS Debt to Equity History July 1st 2022

How Strong Is Pan American Silver's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Pan American Silver had liabilities of US$362.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$490.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$326.3m and US$144.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$381.7m.

Given Pan American Silver has a market capitalization of US$4.13b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Pan American Silver boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Pan American Silver has boosted its EBIT by 69%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Pan American Silver's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Pan American Silver may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Pan American Silver actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Pan American Silver's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$291.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$174m, being 106% of its EBIT. So is Pan American Silver's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Pan American Silver is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:PAAS

Pan American Silver

Engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Canada, Mexico, Peru, Bolivia, Argentina, Chile, and Brazil.

Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.