Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Orvana Minerals (TSE:ORV) Use Debt?

TSX:ORV
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Orvana Minerals Corp. (TSE:ORV) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Orvana Minerals

What Is Orvana Minerals's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Orvana Minerals had debt of US$18.7m at the end of March 2023, a reduction from US$25.3m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$3.52m, its net debt is less, at about US$15.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:ORV Debt to Equity History June 6th 2023

How Healthy Is Orvana Minerals' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Orvana Minerals had liabilities of US$42.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$33.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$3.52m as well as receivables valued at US$2.03m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$70.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$17.3m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Orvana Minerals would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Orvana Minerals will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Orvana Minerals had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 14%, to US$91m. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Orvana Minerals's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$7.3m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through US$2.7m in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Orvana Minerals .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.