Stock Analysis

Here's Why Orla Mining (TSE:OLA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSX:OLA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Orla Mining Ltd. (TSE:OLA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Orla Mining

How Much Debt Does Orla Mining Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Orla Mining had US$145.8m of debt in December 2022, down from US$161.4m, one year before. However, it does have US$96.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$49.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:OLA Debt to Equity History March 27th 2023

How Strong Is Orla Mining's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Orla Mining had liabilities of US$97.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$119.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$96.3m in cash and US$9.02m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$111.5m.

Since publicly traded Orla Mining shares are worth a total of US$1.50b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Orla Mining has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.45. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 14.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Orla Mining turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of US$96m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Orla Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Orla Mining recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 81% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, Orla Mining's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, Orla Mining seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Orla Mining (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:OLA

Orla Mining

Acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties.

Exceptional growth potential with excellent balance sheet.

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