Investors Will Want Methanex's (TSE:MX) Growth In ROCE To Persist
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Methanex's (TSE:MX) returns on capital, so let's have a look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Methanex is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = US$797m ÷ (US$6.7b - US$958m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
Therefore, Methanex has an ROCE of 14%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 16% generated by the Chemicals industry.
Our analysis indicates that MX is potentially undervalued!
In the above chart we have measured Methanex's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From Methanex's ROCE Trend?
Investors would be pleased with what's happening at Methanex. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 14%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 48%. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.
The Bottom Line
To sum it up, Methanex has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. And given the stock has remained rather flat over the last five years, there might be an opportunity here if other metrics are strong. With that in mind, we believe the promising trends warrant this stock for further investigation.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Methanex (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) that you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:MX
Methanex
Produces and supplies methanol in China, Europe, the United States, South America, South Korea, Canada, and Asia.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.