Stock Analysis

Largo (TSE:LGO) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

TSX:LGO
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Largo Inc. (TSE:LGO) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Largo

What Is Largo's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Largo had debt of US$65.0m, up from US$15.0m in one year. However, it also had US$64.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.02m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:LGO Debt to Equity History August 11th 2023

How Healthy Is Largo's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Largo had liabilities of US$57.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$54.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$64.0m as well as receivables valued at US$24.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$23.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Largo has a market capitalization of US$238.2m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. But either way, Largo has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Largo can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Largo made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$212m, which is a fall of 8.4%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Largo produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$21m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$55m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Largo , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Find out whether Largo is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.