Stock Analysis

Is Hudbay Minerals (TSE:HBM) Using Too Much Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Hudbay Minerals Inc. (TSE:HBM) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Hudbay Minerals

What Is Hudbay Minerals's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Hudbay Minerals had US$1.18b of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has US$297.5m in cash leading to net debt of about US$885.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:HBM Debt to Equity History November 14th 2021

A Look At Hudbay Minerals' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hudbay Minerals had liabilities of US$423.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.59b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$297.5m as well as receivables valued at US$125.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$2.59b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$1.92b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hudbay Minerals can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Hudbay Minerals wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 28%, to US$1.4b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Hudbay Minerals managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$26m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$226m. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Hudbay Minerals is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hudbay Minerals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About TSX:HBM

Hudbay Minerals

A diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and optimization of properties in North and South America.

Undervalued with proven track record.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25241.5% overvalued
25 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
11 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.8% undervalued
26 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
13 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.647.1% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

DA
davidlsander
QS logo
davidlsander on QuantumScape ·

An amazing opportunity to potentially get a 100 bagger

Fair Value:US$2556.6% undervalued
128 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
AMZN logo
yiannisz on Amazon.com ·

Amazon: Why the World’s Biggest Platform Still Runs on Invisible Economics

Fair Value:US$231.383.8% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
RUN logo
yiannisz on Sunrun ·

Sunrun Stock: When the Energy Transition Collides With the Cost of Capital

Fair Value:US$19.098.1% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
122 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.1% undervalued
81 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3929.0% undervalued
972 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative