Stock Analysis

Following a 28% decline over last year, recent gains may please Hudbay Minerals Inc. (TSE:HBM) institutional owners

TSX:HBM
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Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies Hudbay Minerals' stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • 51% of the business is held by the top 17 shareholders
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

Every investor in Hudbay Minerals Inc. (TSE:HBM) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 46% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

Institutional investors would probably welcome last week's 5.5% increase in share prices after a year of 28% losses as a sign that returns are likely to begin trending higher.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Hudbay Minerals, beginning with the chart below.

View our latest analysis for Hudbay Minerals

ownership-breakdown
TSX:HBM Ownership Breakdown March 31st 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Hudbay Minerals?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Hudbay Minerals. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Hudbay Minerals' earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:HBM Earnings and Revenue Growth March 31st 2023

Our data indicates that hedge funds own 12% of Hudbay Minerals. That catches my attention because hedge funds sometimes try to influence management, or bring about changes that will create near term value for shareholders. The company's largest shareholder is GMT Capital Corp., with ownership of 12%. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 9.5% and 6.7% of the stock.

A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 17 shareholders have a combined ownership of 51% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Hudbay Minerals

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Hudbay Minerals Inc. in their own names. Keep in mind that it's a big company, and the insiders own CA$5.5m worth of shares. The absolute value might be more important than the proportional share. It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 32% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Hudbay Minerals. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Private Equity Ownership

With a stake of 9.5%, private equity firms could influence the Hudbay Minerals board. Sometimes we see private equity stick around for the long term, but generally speaking they have a shorter investment horizon and -- as the name suggests -- don't invest in public companies much. After some time they may look to sell and redeploy capital elsewhere.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hudbay Minerals that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.