David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Goldgroup Mining Inc. (TSE:GGA) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Goldgroup Mining
What Is Goldgroup Mining's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Goldgroup Mining had US$1.53m in debt in September 2021; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has US$4.54m in cash, leading to a US$3.02m net cash position.
How Strong Is Goldgroup Mining's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Goldgroup Mining had liabilities of US$7.11m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.74m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$4.54m and US$354.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.95m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$6.69m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Goldgroup Mining boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Goldgroup Mining's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Goldgroup Mining reported revenue of US$27m, which is a gain of 48%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
So How Risky Is Goldgroup Mining?
Although Goldgroup Mining had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of US$877k. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. One positive is that Goldgroup Mining is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But we still think it's somewhat risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Goldgroup Mining is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:GGA
Goldgroup Mining
Focuses on the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold-bearing mineral properties in Mexico and the Americas.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.