Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Eastern Platinum Limited (TSE:ELR) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Eastern Platinum
How Much Debt Does Eastern Platinum Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2021, Eastern Platinum had US$47.1m of debt, up from US$42.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had US$9.19m in cash, and so its net debt is US$37.9m.
How Healthy Is Eastern Platinum's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Eastern Platinum had liabilities of US$16.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$68.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$9.19m in cash and US$17.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$58.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$41.6m, we think shareholders really should watch Eastern Platinum's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Eastern Platinum will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Eastern Platinum wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 22%, to US$59m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
Even though Eastern Platinum managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$4.6m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$9.4m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Eastern Platinum (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TSX:ELR
Eastern Platinum
Engages in the mining, exploration, and development of platinum group metal and chrome properties in South Africa.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.