Stock Analysis

Dundee Precious Metals Inc.'s (TSE:DPM) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

TSX:DPM
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.8x Dundee Precious Metals Inc. (TSE:DPM) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 27x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Dundee Precious Metals certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Dundee Precious Metals

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:DPM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Dundee Precious Metals.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Dundee Precious Metals' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 216% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 169% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 17% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 13% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Dundee Precious Metals' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From Dundee Precious Metals' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Dundee Precious Metals maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Dundee Precious Metals (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Dundee Precious Metals' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.