Stock Analysis

Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Dundee Precious Metals Inc.'s TSE:DPM) Stock?

Published
TSX:DPM

Dundee Precious Metals (TSE:DPM) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 5.1% over the last week. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Dundee Precious Metals' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Dundee Precious Metals

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dundee Precious Metals is:

17% = US$209m ÷ US$1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CA$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CA$0.17 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Dundee Precious Metals' Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

At first glance, Dundee Precious Metals seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.9%. This certainly adds some context to Dundee Precious Metals' exceptional 26% net income growth seen over the past five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

We then performed a comparison between Dundee Precious Metals' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 24% in the same 5-year period.

TSX:DPM Past Earnings Growth January 9th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Dundee Precious Metals fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Dundee Precious Metals Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Dundee Precious Metals' three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 16%, which is quite low. This implies that the company is retaining 84% of its profits. So it looks like Dundee Precious Metals is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Additionally, Dundee Precious Metals has paid dividends over a period of five years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 17%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 14%.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Dundee Precious Metals' performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.