What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Canfor Pulp Products (TSE:CFX) so let's look a bit deeper.
We've discovered 2 warning signs about Canfor Pulp Products. View them for free.Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Canfor Pulp Products, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.024 = CA$5.4m ÷ (CA$436m - CA$207m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Thus, Canfor Pulp Products has an ROCE of 2.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Forestry industry average of 13%.
View our latest analysis for Canfor Pulp Products
In the above chart we have measured Canfor Pulp Products' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Canfor Pulp Products for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
It's great to see that Canfor Pulp Products has started to generate some pre-tax earnings from prior investments. Historically the company was generating losses but as we can see from the latest figures referenced above, they're now earning 2.4% on their capital employed. In regards to capital employed, Canfor Pulp Products is using 70% less capital than it was five years ago, which on the surface, can indicate that the business has become more efficient at generating these returns. The reduction could indicate that the company is selling some assets, and considering returns are up, they appear to be selling the right ones.
On a side note, we noticed that the improvement in ROCE appears to be partly fueled by an increase in current liabilities. Effectively this means that suppliers or short-term creditors are now funding 47% of the business, which is more than it was five years ago. And with current liabilities at those levels, that's pretty high.
The Bottom Line On Canfor Pulp Products' ROCE
From what we've seen above, Canfor Pulp Products has managed to increase it's returns on capital all the while reducing it's capital base. Although the company may be facing some issues elsewhere since the stock has plunged 89% in the last five years. Regardless, we think the underlying fundamentals warrant this stock for further investigation.
Canfor Pulp Products does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.