Stock Analysis

Retail investors are Canfor Corporation's (TSE:CFP) biggest owners and were rewarded after market cap rose by CA$73m last week

TSX:CFP
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Key Insights

  • Significant control over Canfor by retail investors implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
  • The top 2 shareholders own 54% of the company
  • Insiders own 22% of Canfor

Every investor in Canfor Corporation (TSE:CFP) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 33% to be precise, is retail investors. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

As a result, retail investors collectively scored the highest last week as the company hit CA$1.8b market cap following a 4.2% gain in the stock.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Canfor.

See our latest analysis for Canfor

ownership-breakdown
TSX:CFP Ownership Breakdown January 6th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Canfor?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

Canfor already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Canfor's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:CFP Earnings and Revenue Growth January 6th 2025

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Canfor. The Jim Pattison Group, Inc. is currently the company's largest shareholder with 31% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 22% and 1.8%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 2 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 54% stake.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Canfor

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of Canfor Corporation. It has a market capitalization of just CA$1.8b, and insiders have CA$413m worth of shares in their own names. That's quite significant. It is good to see this level of investment. You can check here to see if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 33% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Company Ownership

It seems that Private Companies own 31%, of the Canfor stock. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Canfor better, we need to consider many other factors.

I always like to check for a history of revenue growth. You can too, by accessing this free chart of historic revenue and earnings in this detailed graph.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.