Some Confidence Is Lacking In CCL Industries Inc.'s (TSE:CCL.B) P/E

It's not a stretch to say that CCL Industries Inc.'s (TSE:CCL.B) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Canada, where the median P/E ratio is around 15x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

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With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, CCL Industries has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

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Is There Some Growth For CCL Industries?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like CCL Industries' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 54% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 46% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 2.6% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 20% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we find it concerning that CCL Industries is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of CCL Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for CCL Industries with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of CCL Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.