Stock Analysis

Cascades Inc.'s (TSE:CAS) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

Cascades Inc.'s (TSE:CAS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Packaging industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 0.8x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Cascades

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CAS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 20th 2025
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What Does Cascades' Recent Performance Look Like?

Cascades hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cascades will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Cascades' Revenue Growth Trending?

Cascades' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 17% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 5.3% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 4.3%, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it odd that Cascades is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Cascades' P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for Cascades remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Cascades (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:CAS

Cascades

Produces, converts, and markets packaging and tissue products in Canada and the United States.

Average dividend payer and fair value.

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